Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 14.356118 16.690738 19.228979 22.186382 25.529964 29.185272 33.475882
2025-08-31 9.814810 12.846047 16.479384 21.120892 26.854750 33.665491 42.322963
2025-09-07 7.786315 11.183375 15.573872 21.585394 29.511556 39.504521 52.939448
2025-09-14 6.423348 9.985984 14.891837 22.004477 31.890170 44.958662 63.316976
2025-09-21 5.205448 8.710000 13.825015 21.633783 33.007132 48.678944 71.545389
2025-09-28 4.227098 7.582987 12.755380 21.036715 33.622477 51.622247 78.783978
2025-10-05 3.920293 7.440595 13.108831 22.532401 37.338179 59.130686 92.873966
2025-10-12 3.598403 7.209297 13.270183 23.709710 40.626728 66.195422 106.729573
2025-10-19 3.172172 6.718702 12.929078 24.014509 42.540575 71.284248 117.917289
2025-10-26 2.789819 6.239860 12.535084 24.163758 44.176038 76.002203 128.766275
2025-11-02 2.401862 5.680693 11.918854 23.845711 44.978666 79.416170 137.733638
2025-11-09 2.037317 5.101886 11.184761 23.223171 45.180621 81.830900 145.197164
2025-11-16 1.692733 4.523451 10.416540 22.535752 45.356676 84.459313 153.603864
2025-11-23 1.365624 3.918090 9.513158 21.500979 44.847546 85.962878 160.386052
2025-11-30 1.219322 3.707337 9.393128 21.980526 47.155701 92.454175 175.954907
2025-12-07 1.088559 3.505483 9.259109 22.407586 49.386476 98.936626 191.866495
2025-12-14 0.922976 3.171239 8.773030 22.031235 50.007570 102.547428 202.940206
2025-12-21 0.770292 2.831962 8.216470 21.424695 50.095646 105.157375 212.345216
2025-12-28 0.749346 2.875782 8.596138 22.944142 54.638208 116.346504 237.846060
2026-01-04 0.712149 2.861037 8.825561 24.140002 58.591632 126.631787 262.183540
2026-01-11 0.638744 2.711589 8.684091 24.449583 60.684943 133.451011 280.418203
2026-01-18 0.567865 2.551255 8.487522 24.601171 62.440749 139.700041 297.876202
2026-01-25 0.489388 2.340749 8.117099 24.278138 63.115136 143.829520 311.483933